I'm a Swedish-based Lean consultant, and the owner of the free World-Class-Manufacturing.com web site.

In short, I teach key descision makers how to get a cost-effective and robust production.

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Six Sigma: Z-Score calculator

Calculate the areas under the standard curve



This calculator computes four different areas under the standard curve based on the z-value you enter.

z-score


Z-value: Setting the Standard

The “Z-score”, also called the “standard score”, is the statistical measurement of “how far is one particular observation away from the standard deviation”.

The mathematical formula is: z = (x – m) / s, where:

Statisticians like to point out that the “Student t-test” is more appropriate for incompletely-sampled populations.  If you manufacture ball bearings, you probably don’t measure each one.  If you manufacture mirrors for Hubble-like telescopes, you would measure every one (several times).

 

What does the score mean for me?  I mean, really?

Let’s say that your company manufactures measuring cups for household kitchens.  You and your customers expect them to be accurate.

Your quality assurance (QA) team tests each one and records what it really contains when filled to the “1 litre” mark.

You check on one of these cups and find that it actually contains 1.001 litres.

Clearly, your measuring cup is wrong by 1 millilitre.  Is this a disaster? An anomaly? Acceptable?

Your QA team assures you that the average of all the measuring cups is 1.00003 litres, and the standard deviation is 0.005.  Therefore the z-value is (1.001 – 1.00003)/0.005 = 0.00097/0.005 = 0.194.

The QA team then reminds you that these measuring cups have a normal distribution.  Therefore the probability, Q, that this z-value is due to chance is 42.3%.  The QA team may consider that there is no problem at this time.

 

What is this ‘Q’ probability?

The ‘Q’ probability expresses how likely an observation’s value is to be a “random chance”, rather than having a systemic cause.  On the assumption that the population of data follows a normal “bell-shaped” curve, statisticians can show a relationship between the z-score and the Q probability.

 

Why use the Z-value?

Let’s say your company manufactures both measuring cups and oil drums.  Each type of item should be its proper size.  Each has its own QA team.  Each team reports a deviation today.  You need to decide where to deploy your scarce and valuable repair team.

The measuring cup is off by 1 millilitre; the drum by 40 millilitres.  Clearly the drum is “more wrong”, so the drum-making equipment is the higher priority.  Or is it?

What if the percentage error is smaller for the drum than the measuring cup?  The 55-gallon drum (US gallons) holds 208.20 litres, so the percentage error is 0.019%.  The measuring cup’s error is 0.1%.  Now the measuring cup has the “larger” problem.  Or does it?

If the oil drum’s z-value is higher than the measuring cup’s, however, then the drum’s equipment has the more serious problem – it is farther from average than the measuring cup’s equipment.  Probably the z-score indicates that something has worsened recently.  If the z-score were 0.9, for example, then the probability that it is just a chance occurrence is 18%.  At worse than 1-in-5 odds of “just chance”, you should check the drum manufacturing equipment for recent wear.

So: the z value supports comparing the significance of deviations observed in different populations.

Summary

A larger z-value indicates that the observation is more unlikely – and therefore indicates a problem.

The z-value allows a comparison of quality control between apples and automobiles – how “deviant” is this apple’s weight from the others in the orchard?  How “deviant” is this automobile’s paint thickness, compared to others from this factory?



Oskar Olofsson, 2009

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